Changes

Pollsters have failed miserably in their attempts to predict the outcome of voting recently, but it is possible for analysts to identify the kinds of choices which people are likely to make. In his foreword to the book, Anand Menon of The UK in a Changing Europe Initiative says that the book provides ''an excellent example of the way in which good, clear, methodologically rigorous analysis can further our understanding both of what has happened, and what the implications of these events might be.'' I'd agree with that, but I'm less convinced about his statement that the findings are presented in ''a clear and accessible way''. This might well be true if you have a relevant background in statistics, but the general reader could well struggle with some of the concepts. I found the conclusions to each chapter particularly useful, if for no other reason that thet they allowed me to check that I ''had'' understood what was being said.